This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current numerical weather prediction models, including outputs from the Met Office and BBC, indicate Milan’s maximum temperature on August 23 will likely reach 27–29°C under partly cloudy skies and light northerly flow typical of late-summer high pressure over northern Italy. Ensemble consensus centers near 28°C, reflecting seasonal decline from mid-August peaks near 31°C, while minor model spread—some runs showing brief clearing that could push readings to 30°C—keeps the 29°C-or-higher bracket in play at lower probability. Updated guidance expected overnight will refine these implied probabilities ahead of official station observations used for market resolution.