- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 22?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 27°C on August 22?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 22?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 22?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on August 22?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models indicate a typical late-August pattern over northern Italy, with Milan expected to reach a daily maximum near 28–29°C under mostly sunny intervals and light northeasterly winds. These conditions, following scattered thunderstorms earlier in the week, support the market’s heavy weighting toward the 28°C and 29°C outcomes while allowing a meaningful share for 30°C or higher if daytime heating exceeds guidance. Historical August highs average 28–30°C, providing climatological context, yet short-range model spread on cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing introduces uncertainty that traders price through the leading bins. Updated 48-hour model runs and any overnight observations on August 21 remain the key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities before resolution.