This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models for Milan on August 18 point to a daily high near 32–33°C under partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds, consistent with the market's leading outcomes. These values sit slightly above the city's historical August average high of 28–30°C but remain typical for midsummer conditions in the Po Valley, where high pressure and modest southerly flow often produce such readings without extreme heat advection. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around this range, with no strong signals for intensification or cooling from frontal passages. Official resolution will rely on the highest verified measurement from Milan-area weather stations, and any final model updates ahead of the date could still adjust the exact peak.