This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Short-range consensus from ECMWF, Met Office, and Italian Meteorological Service models favors a 34–36 °C peak in Milan on August 14 under persistent high pressure, sunny skies, and light winds that enhance daytime heating well above the mid-August climatological average of 29–30 °C. The near-even market split between 34 °C (49 %) and 35 °C (43 %) reflects residual uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing depth, Po Valley subsidence, urban heat-island effects, and possible modest Alpine cooling or thin high cloud. Updated model runs and land-sea breeze revisions over the next 24 hours are expected to tighten the range ahead of official maximum observations used for resolution.