Highest temperature in Milan on August 13?
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C or below on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 34°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 35°C on August 13?>99¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 36°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 37°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 38°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C or higher on August 13?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official meteorological observations for Milan on August 13 confirm a daily maximum of 35°C at representative stations, aligning with the market's 100% implied probability for that outcome. Persistent high-pressure systems and regional heatwave conditions, with elevated surface temperatures and low cloud cover, drove this result, consistent with broader Italian summer patterns where August averages hover near 28–30°C but can spike under anticyclonic influence. Traders priced near-certainty based on real-time station data and model consensus showing minimal variance. Only calibration discrepancies between official reporting agencies or unverified microclimate effects at specific sites could theoretically alter resolution, though such revisions remain improbable given standardized measurement protocols.