This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models converge on a daily maximum near 88–90°F for Miami on September 8, with afternoon thunderstorms likely. High humidity (dew points in the upper 70s) and light easterly to southeasterly flow favor sea-breeze-driven convection that typically peaks in the afternoon, limiting the highest temperature through evaporative cooling and cloud cover. Current model runs and climatological analogs for early September in South Florida place the most probable peak in the upper 80s to low 90s; stronger or earlier storms could cap readings at 88–89°F, while delayed convection or clearer skies could allow a brief push into the low 90s. Recent days have seen highs of 91–93°F under similar patterns, but the elevated storm probability (70–90% in many guidance packages) supports the market’s heaviest weighting on the 90–91°F bin. Updated model cycles and National Hurricane Center or local NWS briefings over the next 48 hours will provide the clearest signals for any late adjustments.