- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 7?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 7?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 7?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 7?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 7?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on September 7?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on September 7?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 7 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts for Miami on September 7 point to a high near 89–90°F amid the typical early September pattern of high humidity, light winds, and strong afternoon instability. Sea-breeze convergence and daytime heating are expected to trigger widespread thunderstorms, which often cap temperatures by increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling before the daily peak. Recent model runs and local observations show no significant changes in steering patterns or moisture profiles that would support stronger heating or suppression of convection. This setup aligns with climatological norms for the period, where highs cluster in the upper 80s to low 90s, explaining why the market assigns the highest implied probability to the 90–91°F bin while still pricing modest upside potential from any delay in storm development.