This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 6 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and private forecast models indicate Miami will likely reach a daily high near 89–90°F on September 6 under partly sunny skies with scattered afternoon thunderstorms, consistent with late-summer climatology where the average high is 89.8°F. Light steering winds and a weak pressure gradient limit rapid changes, while elevated heat indices reflect typical moisture levels rather than anomalous heat. Trader consensus favoring the 90–91°F bin reflects these stable model runs and the absence of tropical influences or cold fronts that could shift temperatures outside the narrow 88–93°F range observed in recent Septembers. Newer guidance released overnight will provide the final model consensus before resolution.