- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 5?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 5?19¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 5?68¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 5?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and other models project a high near 90°F for Miami on September 5, 2026, with partly sunny skies, southeast winds of 5-10 mph, and a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms amid high humidity. This aligns with the 67.5% market-implied probability for 90-91°F as the leading outcome, consistent with early September climatology averaging 89-90°F highs. Recent observations show temperatures near or slightly above seasonal norms following a 93°F reading on September 3, while model consensus indicates limited intensification potential due to convective activity and no strong steering influences. Updated NWS briefings and afternoon model runs remain the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in trader sentiment.