- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 3?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 3?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 3?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 96°F or higher on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 3?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on September 3 point to a daily maximum near 89°F amid typical late-summer conditions, with southeast flow, high humidity, and heat indices exceeding 105°F. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms, expected with 60-70% probability after midday, introduce cooling via cloud cover and evaporative effects that often cap the peak before late-day heating. This aligns with the climatological average high of 90°F while explaining why traders assign the highest implied probabilities (46.5% and 36.5%) to the 90-91°F and 92-93°F bins. Model consensus shows limited spread on steering patterns or intensification of convection, keeping upside potential for 94°F+ low at under 4% combined.