- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 1?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 1?13¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 1?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on September 1?28¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on September 1?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on September 1?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on September 1?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami highs on September 1 will likely reach the low 90s amid typical late-summer humidity and afternoon convection. Persistent easterly flow, high dew points near 80°F, and heat indices above 105°F support surface temperatures peaking near 90–91°F before scattered thunderstorms develop and provide modest cooling. This pattern aligns with climatological norms for early September, where average highs hover around 89–90°F, and current ensemble runs show limited spread for extremes above 93°F or below 88°F. Traders have priced the 90–91°F bin highest at 56% implied probability, reflecting strong consensus in short-range forecasts while assigning modest weight to slight upward or downward revisions from ongoing model updates.