- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 30?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 30?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 30?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 30?51¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 30?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 30?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on August 30?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Latest National Weather Service and model guidance for Miami on August 30 point to a high near 88–89°F amid mostly sunny conditions, east-southeast winds of 5–10 mph, and a 60–70% chance of afternoon showers and thunderstorms. These convective patterns, typical for late-summer southeast Florida, often cap peak readings while allowing brief spikes into the low 90s before cooling. Heat-index values near 106°F reflect high humidity, yet actual air temperatures align with climatological August averages around 87–90°F. The market’s heavy weighting toward the 90–91°F bin (51%) reflects consensus on this narrow range, with lower-probability tails for drier or more suppressed scenarios. Updated model runs and NWS briefings tomorrow morning remain the key near-term catalysts.