- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 26?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 26?39¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 26?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 26?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Miami's highest temperature on August 26 centers on the narrow contest between 90–91°F and 88–89°F because short-range model guidance and climatology place the daytime maximum near the seasonal average of 88–89°F, with modest upside from reduced convective cloud cover. Typical August patterns feature easterly flow under the Bermuda high, sea-breeze convergence, and afternoon thunderstorms that limit insolation and produce localized cooling; any delay in storm initiation or lower precipitable water could allow readings to reach the low 90s. Current NWS and AccuWeather guidance show highs near 90–91°F with 40–50% thunderstorm chances, leaving the precise peak sensitive to timing of cloud build-up and outflow boundaries. Lower-probability bins above 92°F or below 88°F reflect the low historical frequency of extremes outside major tropical influences.