- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 81°F or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 25?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 25?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 25?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 25?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 100°F or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate Miami highs near 90–92°F on August 25 under a mostly sunny regime with easterly flow and a 20–50% chance of afternoon convection. This narrow range, combined with typical sea-breeze timing and modest cloud cover, underpins the near-even split between the 90–91°F and 92–93°F bins. High moisture content (precipitable water near 1.8–2.0 inches) and heat indices above 105°F add uncertainty to peak readings, as any early or widespread storms could suppress the maximum by 1–3°F. Updated model runs and the next NWS forecast discussion remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in trader positioning.