- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 23?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 23?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 23?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 23?56¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 23?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 98°F or higher on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 79°F or below on August 23?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kmia To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Official forecasts from the National Weather Service and consensus models indicate a peak temperature in the lower 90s for Miami on August 23, driven by southerly flow, dew points near 78°F, and heat indices exceeding 105°F before afternoon convection develops. Recent record warmth, including a 100°F reading on August 18, reflects an anomalously warm air mass that has only partially moderated, keeping the 92–93°F bin as the market favorite at 56.5% implied probability. Scattered thunderstorms and increasing cloud cover are expected to limit further intensification after midday, aligning trader consensus with the 90–91°F range as the next most likely outcome while assigning low odds to extremes outside the 88–95°F envelope.