This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service and AccuWeather guidance for Miami on August 21 projects a daily maximum near 92°F, aligning with late-summer climatology where average highs reach 89–90°F amid warm Gulf and Atlantic sea-surface temperatures that fuel typical afternoon convection. Recent model consensus favors partly sunny conditions with light steering flow, limiting both extreme heating and strong cooling from sea breezes or storms, which positions 92–93°F as the modal outcome while the 24.5% implied probability on 94–95°F reflects residual uncertainty in peak insolation if cloud cover remains minimal. Forecasters note heat-index values could exceed 105°F regardless of the exact air temperature maximum.