- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on August 20?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on August 20?41¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 96-97°F on August 20?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 100-101°F on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 102°F or higher on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on August 20?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 83°F or below on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on August 20?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 20?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 98-99°F on August 20?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current National Weather Service guidance for Miami on August 20 centers on a high near 94°F under typical late-summer subtropical high pressure, with sea-breeze circulation and scattered afternoon convection the main variables that could trim or sustain peak readings. Model consensus shows limited spread around this value because moisture levels and steering flow remain consistent with recent days of 93–97°F highs, while climatological normals sit at 91°F. The near-even 42% market-implied odds on the 92–93°F and 94–95°F bins reflect this narrow uncertainty band: modest differences in the timing or coverage of thunderstorms, or slight adjustments in boundary-layer mixing, would decide which side resolves. Updated model runs and NHC/NOAA briefings over the next 24 hours will refine these thresholds ahead of official Miami International Airport observations used for market settlement.