This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Miami Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Miami Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service and model guidance point to a mid-August subtropical pattern with highs near or slightly above the 91°F seasonal normal for Miami, positioning 92-93°F as the market favorite at 63% implied probability. Persistent southeasterly flow, limited cloud cover early in the day, and typical Gulf Stream influence support afternoon peaks in the low 90s, while scattered thunderstorm development and a possible sea breeze could cap readings near 90-91°F or push them into the mid-90s depending on timing and coverage. Recent observations show consecutive days near 94°F, reinforcing trader focus on the upper end of the normal range ahead of the August 14 resolution.