- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 31?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 31?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 31?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 31?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 31?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 31?10¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the Met Office, WeatherBug, and others converge on a daytime high near 24–25°C for Mexico City on August 31, driven by persistent moisture, high cloud cover, and scattered afternoon thunderstorms that limit surface heating at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Seasonal late-summer patterns feature moderate instability from Gulf and Pacific moisture, keeping maxima below the August average of roughly 25–26°C while preventing stronger radiative warming under clear skies. Recent days have shown similar conditions with highs in the low-to-mid 20s°C and frequent convective rain, reinforcing trader consensus around 24–25°C outcomes and capping odds for 26°C or higher. Updated model runs and official National Meteorological Service guidance on storm timing remain the key near-term variables.