- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 25?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 25?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 25?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 25?13¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus in the Mexico City temperature market centers on 22–23°C as the most probable daily high for August 25, reflecting the city’s wet-season climatology where afternoon convective rainfall and persistent cloud cover routinely cap afternoon maxima near seasonal norms of 22–24°C. Recent model guidance and observational trends show overcast skies with scattered showers, limiting solar heating and surface warming compared to drier periods. These conditions align with historical distributions for late August, where extremes above 25°C or below 21°C occur far less frequently due to moisture-driven stabilization. Updated forecasts through the day will refine resolution probabilities, particularly if rainfall timing shifts.