- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C on August 24?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 17°C on August 24?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 19°C on August 24?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 24?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on August 24?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 24?5¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=mmmx To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent cloud cover, high humidity, and frequent thunderstorms tied to Mexico City's rainy season are capping solar heating and suppressing the daily maximum temperature below the ~23–24°C August average. Recent forecasts from multiple models converge on a peak near 19°C (around 66°F), with overcast skies and 70–90% rain chances limiting afternoon warming at the city's 2,240 m elevation. Trader consensus clusters on 19–20°C because historical analogs and current steering patterns show only modest variability in convective intensity, while the 18°C and 21°C outcomes remain plausible if cloud breaks or stronger storms shift the diurnal range. Official Servicio Meteorológico Nacional observations will resolve the market once the full day's data are finalized.