- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 20°C or below on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 30°C or higher on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on August 22?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 29°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 27°C on August 22?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on August 22?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 23°C on August 22?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on August 22?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on August 22?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 21°C on August 22?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 22?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus on Mexico City’s August 22 high clusters tightly around 23–24°C because the city’s 2,240-meter elevation and peak rainy-season cloud cover plus afternoon convection normally cap daytime heating near the long-term average of 23–24°C. Persistent moisture and scattered showers keep maximum temperatures from rising much above this band while preventing sharp drops, producing the observed near-even split between the two leading outcomes. Minor differences in the timing or coverage of cloud breaks versus thunderstorm development on the day itself are the key variables that will determine which value records as the official maximum at the Servicio Meteorológico Nacional station. Short-range model updates over the final hours will refine the precise outcome within this narrow climatological envelope.