- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on September 3?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on September 3?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on September 3?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 3?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on September 3?45¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 3?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 3?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on September 3?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on September 3?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate Manila's September 3 high temperature will likely peak near 29–31°C amid widespread cloud cover, thunderstorms, and moderate southwest winds associated with the ongoing monsoon season. These conditions, combined with high humidity near 80–90%, limit surface heating and align with the market's strong emphasis on 31°C as the leading outcome. Historical September averages hover around 31°C, yet frequent precipitation this period has consistently capped daily maxima below drier-season peaks. Updated model runs and official guidance from regional agencies will provide the next key data points before resolution.