- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 27?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 27?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 27?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 27?44¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 27?16¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on August 27?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models and PAGASA guidance point to a highest temperature of 30–31°C in Manila on August 27 as the most probable outcome. Persistent southwest monsoon (habagat) flow is delivering increased cloud cover, scattered showers, and thunderstorms across Luzon, which limits daytime heating compared with clearer conditions on August 26 when readings reached 32–33°C. Official outlooks list daily maxima of 27–31°C or 26–30°C for Metro Manila, with the highest values expected under partial afternoon breaks in the overcast. These conditions align with the market’s leading 31°C (42.5%) and 30°C (26%) shares, while the lower probability for 32°C or above reflects the cooling effect of widespread cloudiness and precipitation. The final official high will be determined by PAGASA surface observations at the end of the 24-hour period.