Highest temperature in Manila on August 18?
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 22°C or below on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 18?46¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 18?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 18?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C or higher on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 23°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 18?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 18?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 18?11¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The southwest monsoon, or habagat, currently dominating Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and positioning the market's leading 28–29°C outcomes (combined 81.5% implied probability) as the consensus. PAGASA's extended outlook for August 18 projects a 26–31°C range with 60% rain chances, while ensemble models cluster maxima near 29°C amid typical wet-season humidity and limited solar insolation. These conditions align with climatological baselines for August, where monsoon-driven convection often caps highs below seasonal averages of 30–31°C. Updated model runs and PAGASA briefings in the next 48 hours will refine steering patterns and any intensification of rainfall that could further suppress the daily maximum.