Highest temperature in Manila on August 17?
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 23°C or below on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 24°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 25°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 26°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 27°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 17?59¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 17?35¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 17?7¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 17?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C or higher on August 17?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The active southwest monsoon affecting Luzon has increased cloud cover and rainfall probability over Metro Manila, moderating daytime heating and positioning 29°C as the market leader at 60.5% implied probability. PAGASA forecasts a 26–32°C range for August 17 with 60% rain chances, while recent model guidance points to a 29°C maximum; these align with trader consensus favoring 28–29°C outcomes at nearly 80% combined. Typical August highs near 30–31°C are suppressed by monsoon-driven convection and reduced solar insolation, with limited upside risk for 31°C or higher given persistent moisture and limited clearing expected before resolution.