- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on August 29?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C or below on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on August 29?63¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 28°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on August 29?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C or higher on August 29?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on August 29?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 29?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 29?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=lemd If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent high-pressure dominance and clear skies over central Spain have driven a gradual temperature recovery in Madrid after cooler late-August conditions, with official model consensus from sources like AEMET and GFS now projecting a daytime maximum of 29–30°C on August 29 under light southerly winds and minimal cloud cover. This atmospheric setup, featuring stable subsidence and dry air masses, positions 30°C and 31°C as the dominant market outcomes at combined 93% implied probability while limiting upside risk from 32°C or higher. Hourly guidance shows peak heating in the mid-afternoon before rapid evening cooling, consistent with historical late-summer baselines for the region and leaving little scope for significant forecast revisions before resolution.