- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on September 1?60¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 1?38¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 1?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C or higher on September 1?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event which there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon-driven cloud cover, rain, and thunderstorms are suppressing maximum temperatures in Lucknow on September 1, 2026, keeping them near or slightly below seasonal norms. Official India Meteorological Department guidance issued August 31 explicitly forecasts a maximum around 30°C (with a minimum near 26°C) under generally cloudy to overcast skies and intermittent rain or thundershowers, accompanied by warnings of heavy rain and lightning at isolated places. The prior day’s observed high of 31.8°C (1.7°C below normal) already reflected similar conditions. Multiple forecast sources converge on highs of 29–30°C (roughly 84–86°F), with hourly data showing peaks near midday before convective activity increases. Persistent moisture, high humidity (often 80–95%), and easterly/northeasterly winds limit insolation and promote evaporative cooling, preventing the stronger heating typical of early September climatology (historical averages near 32–33°C). These factors explain why market-implied probabilities concentrate on 30°C (60%) and 31°C (37%), with negligible odds on 32°C or higher. Updated model runs or real-time observations through the afternoon will determine whether any brief clearing allows a marginal exceedance of 31°C before resolution.