- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 23°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 24°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 30?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 30?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 30?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 30?50¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C or higher on August 30?19¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader sentiment for Lucknow’s August 30, 2026, highest temperature centers on official India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts and real-time observations indicating a likely peak near 31–33°C amid active monsoon conditions. Multiple IMD updates for Lucknow and neighborhood project maxima around 33–34°C early on August 30, with later refinements settling near 31–32°C under generally cloudy skies, scattered rain or thundershowers, and high humidity (often 85–94%). Recent actual maxima on August 29 reached 33.5–33.8°C at the airport, providing a baseline that traders adjust downward slightly due to increased convective activity and cloud cover expected to limit surface heating. The 32°C outcome leads (48% implied probability) because it aligns with the tightest cluster of short-range model guidance and official briefings, while 31°C (28%) and 33°C+ (28%) capture residual uncertainty from variable rainfall timing and localized thunderstorm intensity. Lower outcomes remain negligible given the seasonal monsoon pattern and observed dew points supporting sustained warmth. Upcoming IMD updates and hourly observations through the afternoon will likely refine these market-implied odds as precipitation develops.