- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 26°C or below on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 26?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 26?33¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 26?40¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 26?17¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 26?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 26?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 26?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C or higher on August 26?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including a trough line over central and eastern Uttar Pradesh, has driven widespread cloud cover, light to moderate showers, and high humidity (80–95%) across Lucknow, suppressing daytime heating and anchoring maximum temperatures near 30–32°C on August 26. Recent observations confirm below-normal highs around 30.4°C the prior day, with official IMD guidance projecting similar values amid overcast skies and thundershower chances exceeding 60%. These conditions—reduced solar insolation from thick cloud decks, evaporative cooling from precipitation, and elevated moisture—tightly cluster market-implied probabilities around 30–32°C while limiting upside to 33°C or above. Traders weigh forecast model consensus on rainfall timing against potential brief clear spells that could allow modest warming.