- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 25?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 25?21¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 25?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 25?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 25?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 25?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus around 30–32°C for Lucknow’s August 25 maximum reflects active southwest monsoon conditions, with official IMD guidance forecasting 32°C under generally cloudy skies and scattered thundershowers. Persistent cloud cover limits surface heating while evaporative cooling from rain episodes caps peaks near the seasonal average of 31–32°C. Model runs show modest spread tied to exact shower timing and boundary-layer moisture, producing the tight 31°C (32.5%) versus 30°C (26.5%) and 32°C (21%) probabilities. Historical August data indicate similar days rarely exceed 34°C when organized convection is present, keeping higher-temperature bins below 15% combined. Updated radar and short-range guidance later today will refine the final observed maximum.