- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 27°C or below on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 28°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 29°C on August 21?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 21?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on August 21?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on August 21?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on August 21?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C on August 21?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on August 21?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 36°C on August 21?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 37°C or higher on August 21?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast models from sources including the India Meteorological Department and international agencies indicate persistent monsoon cloud cover, scattered thunderstorms, and high humidity around 80-90% will cap radiative heating in Lucknow on August 21, 2026, positioning 32–34°C as the most probable maximum range. Recent days have seen observed highs of 32–33°C under similar overcast conditions, with hourly projections peaking near 34–35°C midday before afternoon convection develops. Steadier easterly flow and dew points near 25–28°C further suppress extremes relative to drier pre-monsoon baselines. Traders assign the highest implied probability to 33°C, reflecting model consensus on limited intensification before evening showers. Updated IMD observations and late-day satellite trends remain the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.