This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 30–31°C for Lucknow’s peak temperature on August 18 because active southwest monsoon conditions—widespread cloud cover, scattered thundershowers, and high humidity—continue to moderate daytime heating in the Indo-Gangetic plain. Official forecasts show model runs differing mainly on rainfall timing and coverage, with heavier or earlier precipitation favoring the lower end of that range and partial clearing allowing brief warming toward 31°C. Historical August climatology places normal highs near 31–32°C, but persistent moisture and reduced insolation have kept recent daily maxima closer to 29–30°C. Updated India Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble outputs expected overnight will likely refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.