This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Active southwest monsoon conditions dominate trader sentiment for Lucknow's August 15 maximum temperature, with persistent cloud cover, 70-90% humidity, and scattered showers or thunderstorms expected to limit surface heating and keep the daily high tightly clustered near 33-34°C. Recent IMD extended-range guidance and numerical model consensus point to easterly flow and frequent precipitation chances of 60-80%, which reduce incoming solar radiation and promote evaporative cooling—key factors differentiating the leading outcomes. Minor shifts in storm timing, cloud optical depth, or boundary-layer moisture could tip the exact peak between 33°C and 34°C, while extremes remain improbable under established August climatology of moderated highs around 31-34°C.