- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 67°F or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 5?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 5?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 5?30¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 5?49¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 5?11¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 86°F or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent official forecasts and model guidance point to a highest temperature in Los Angeles on September 5 centered in the upper 70s to mid-80s Fahrenheit, with downtown and coastal stations most likely finishing near 80–84°F. National Weather Service point forecasts and matrices issued September 4 project a high near 29°C (≈84°F) for downtown Los Angeles under sunny morning conditions turning partly cloudy, while LAX-area guidance clusters around 77–80°F due to stronger marine influence. Ensemble and private model runs show a narrow spread driven by light southerly flow, limited cloud cover, and subsidence under a building ridge—conditions that favor efficient daytime heating without significant onshore cooling or marine-layer stratus. These factors explain the market’s heavy weighting toward the 80–81°F bin (49.5% implied probability) and adjacent 78–79°F and 82–83°F ranges, consistent with the slight cooling bias at official airport stations versus warmer inland readings. With resolution imminent, fresh NWS updates and any late shifts in the marine layer or wind patterns represent the main variables that could still nudge the final maximum within or just outside the current leading bins.