- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 65°F or below on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on September 1?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 1?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 1?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 1?43¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 1?31¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 1?5¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 1?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 1?1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble model runs for Los Angeles on September 1 point to a high in the mid-to-upper 70s, aligning with the market's leading 76-77°F bucket at 42.5% implied probability. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore flow from the Pacific high are limiting daytime heating, consistent with climatological norms where the September 1 average high reaches 76.8°F at downtown stations. Model consensus shows limited warming potential absent stronger offshore winds or clear-sky subsidence, while historical analogs from similar late-August setups rarely exceed 80°F. Traders appear to weigh this baseline against short-term forecast uncertainty ahead of final NWS updates.