- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 25?15¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 25?6¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 25?54¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on August 25?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 25?26¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klax This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service forecasts and model guidance indicate that marine influence and a persistent sea breeze will moderate temperatures at official Los Angeles measurement sites on August 25, keeping daily highs most likely in the low-to-mid 80s despite a broader regional heat wave. Coastal locations such as LAX and downtown typically see 5–15 °F less warming than inland valleys because of the stabilizing effect of the Pacific, consistent with observed highs of 82–85 °F over the preceding several days and current ensemble runs showing only modest offshore flow on Tuesday. Traders have therefore concentrated implied probability on the 82–85 °F bins, reflecting both the expected ceiling from the marine layer and the low chance of significant model shifts or stronger warming before the daily maximum is recorded. No precipitation or major synoptic change is anticipated that would alter this range.