Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 19?
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 19?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 19?25¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on August 19?57¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on August 19?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on August 19?14¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on August 19?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 86-87°F on August 19?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 92-93°F on August 19?<1¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 19 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance for Los Angeles on August 19 point to a high near 80–82°F, driven by persistent onshore flow and a moderating marine layer typical of late-summer coastal Southern California. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with interior valleys, aligning with the market’s heaviest weighting on the 80–81°F bin. Settlement now uses The Weather Company observations at KLAX rather than NWS, a recent change that has sharpened focus on airport-specific readings. Historical August averages near 84°F provide context, yet current sea-surface temperatures and forecast soundings favor slightly cooler outcomes, sustaining the 55.5% implied probability for the leading range while keeping higher bins under 5%.