This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 14 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
National Weather Service forecasts indicate a cooling trend from marine layer influence and persistent onshore flow, positioning Los Angeles highs for August 14 in the mid-70s range amid typical August variability around 84°F. Model consensus and recent observations support 76-77°F as the leading outcome, with traders assigning it 57.5% implied probability due to cloud cover limiting daytime heating and minimal Santa Ana wind development. Updated NWS discussions highlight cooler-than-normal conditions persisting into the weekend, though minor forecast adjustments could shift probabilities toward 74-75°F or 78-79°F if clearer skies emerge. This skin-in-the-game consensus reflects aggregated assessment of atmospheric patterns and observational data.