Highest temperature in London on August 13?
- Will the highest temperature in London be 36°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 33°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 35°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 37°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 38°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 39°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 40°C or higher on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C or below on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on August 13?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on August 13?>99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Persistent high pressure over southern England, combined with southerly advection of warm continental air and clear skies favoring strong solar heating, has produced tight Met Office and ensemble forecast consensus around a 34°C maximum at London’s primary resolution station for August 13. This synoptic pattern and late-summer anticyclonic conditions underpin traders’ near-certain market-implied probability for exactly 34°C. Realistic challenges remain narrow but include last-minute model revisions from unexpected afternoon cloud cover, localized wind shifts, or microscale urban variations that could shift the official peak into an adjacent bin.