- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 4?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on September 4?37¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 4?53¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on September 4?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on September 4?1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C on September 4?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 39°C or higher on September 4?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Traders are positioning around 33–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s September 4 maximum, reflecting official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance of 35°C amid scattered afternoon thunderstorms and morning haze, alongside ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and Yr.no showing afternoon peaks near 33–34°C. Typical September climatology supports highs of 32–33°C, but persistent El Niño conditions—evidenced by Niño-3.4 anomalies above +1°C—favor above-normal temperatures and reduced rainfall across the Maritime Continent, elevating the chance of reaching 34°C. Thunderstorm development and associated cloud cover introduce uncertainty that could limit the peak, keeping 35°C a lower-probability outcome while historical September records and current model consensus anchor sentiment near the 33–34°C range.