- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C or below on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 31°C on August 25?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on August 25?27¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on August 25?36¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 25?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C on August 25?3¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 37°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 38°C on August 25?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 39°C or higher on August 25?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=wmkk To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Trader consensus clusters around 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s August 25 maximum because official Malaysian Meteorological Department guidance and ensemble models project isolated afternoon thunderstorms amid typical southwest monsoon flow. These convective cells often develop rapidly after midday solar heating, releasing latent heat while increasing cloud cover and evaporative cooling that caps peak readings near 33°C. Historical August baselines show similar variability of 1–2°C driven by exact timing of seabreeze convergence and boundary-layer moisture. With only modest model spread and no strong anomalous ridge or dry spell indicated in the latest runs, traders assign the highest implied probability to the middle of the narrow forecast envelope while discounting extremes outside 30–35°C.