- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on September 5?8¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on September 5?47¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on September 5?34¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 5?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on September 5?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on September 5?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on September 5?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from meteorological models indicate partly to mostly cloudy skies and moderate westerly winds over Karachi on September 5, limiting daytime heating amid the late southwest monsoon season. High humidity levels near 70-80% and scattered cloud cover are expected to cap the maximum temperature around 31-32°C, consistent with climatological norms for early September in the region. Trader consensus reflected in the leading market-implied probabilities for these outcomes stems from consistent model runs showing no strong high-pressure ridge or clear skies that would allow greater solar heating. Upcoming updates from regional weather agencies on steering patterns and any convective activity could refine these probabilities ahead of the day's resolution.