- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 26°C or below on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 27?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 27?4¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 27?32¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 27?54¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 27?12¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 27?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C or higher on August 27?<1¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Forecast consensus for August 27, 2026, centers on a daily maximum of 31–32°C in Karachi, driving the market's leading outcomes at 32°C (54%) and 31°C (32%). Multiple models, including GFS-based forecasts and official outlooks, indicate mostly cloudy to partly cloudy skies with haze, westerly to southwesterly winds of 15–30 km/h, high humidity (60–85%), and negligible precipitation risk. These conditions limit strong daytime heating while preventing significant cooling. Typical late-August climatology supports this narrow band, with historical averages near 31°C and rare extremes outside 29–33°C under similar setups. Recent updates show stable steering patterns and no incoming weather systems—such as stronger monsoon surges or clear-sky radiative heating—that would push temperatures notably higher or lower. The tight clustering of probabilities around 31–32°C reflects trader alignment with this model consensus and the absence of volatility in short-term observational trends or revised guidance.