This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from agencies and models indicate daytime highs in Karachi of 31–34°C on August 25 amid ongoing monsoon conditions, with cloud cover, high humidity, and sea breezes limiting extreme heat. This aligns with climatological averages near 31–32°C for late August and follows a 30°C peak on August 22. Trader consensus favoring 32°C (45%) and 33°C (32%) reflects these projections, while lower probabilities for 34°C or above account for potential model variability or localized warming. Official observations tomorrow will resolve the market, with updates from monitoring sources likely to refine odds as conditions evolve.