- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on August 24?20¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C or higher on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C or below on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 28°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 30°C on August 24?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 31°C on August 24?2¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on August 24?9¢
- Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on August 24?66¢
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Jinnah International Airport in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=opkc To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Monsoon cloud cover, high humidity, and consistent Arabian Sea breezes are the dominant factors anchoring trader expectations for Karachi’s August 24 maximum near 32–33 °C. Late-August climatology in the region typically produces daily highs of 31–33 °C when sea-breeze circulation and variable monsoon cloudiness suppress strong solar heating. Current ensemble forecasts from global models and the Pakistan Meteorological Department converge on a narrow 31–34 °C window, with 33 °C emerging as the mode because recent daily maxima (including the 32 °C recorded on August 21) have clustered in this band under similar synoptic conditions. Persistent overcast or partly cloudy skies, combined with 70–80 % relative humidity and 20–30 km/h onshore winds, reduce the potential for temperatures to reach 34 °C or higher, while also preventing drops below 31 °C. These meteorological constraints explain the heavy market weighting on the 32 °C and 33 °C outcomes (collectively >80 % implied probability) and the negligible odds assigned to extremes outside the 31–34 °C envelope. Updated model runs and official briefings through the day will be the key near-term catalysts for any shifts in these probabilities.