This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Masroor Airbase Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecasts from sources including AccuWeather and the Pakistan Meteorological Department indicate Karachi highs near 31–32°C on August 20, consistent with the market’s leading 32°C outcome at 63% implied probability. Mid-August climatology features moderating Arabian Sea breezes and typical monsoon moisture that cap daytime maxima around the 30–32°C range, rarely exceeding 34°C without strong subsidence. Recent PMD updates note pleasant, breezy conditions with temperatures in the 29–31°C band through mid-month, supporting trader consensus around the 31–33°C cluster while limiting odds for extremes. Updated model runs over the next 48 hours will refine land-sea temperature contrasts and any late monsoon shifts ahead of resolution.