- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on September 2?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on September 2?>99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Sep '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Clear skies and calm northeasterly winds are supporting maximum solar heating across Jinan on September 2, with multiple forecast models and local meteorological agencies projecting a daily high near 29–30°C. This places the outcome well above the 26°C threshold, aligning with the market’s overwhelming 99.8% implied probability for that bin. Jinan’s early-September climatology features average highs of 27–29°C under similar anticyclonic conditions, providing additional context for the strong trader consensus. Only an unexpected increase in cloud cover or an unforecast cold surge could realistically prevent the reading from clearing 26°C, though current observations and model agreement show no such development.