- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 30?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 30?99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including WeatherBug, Yr.no, and Chinese meteorological updates, project a daytime high of 28–33°C in Jinan on August 30, 2026, driven by typical late-summer subtropical conditions with light northeasterly winds and minimal cloud cover or precipitation. Historical averages for the period place maximum temperatures near 30–31°C, and recent model runs show no significant cooling influences such as cold fronts or heavy rain. This strong consensus across agencies underpins the market-implied odds exceeding 98% for 26°C or higher. A realistic challenge would require an unexpected sharp drop in the steering pattern or unforecasted northerly flow, though such shifts remain low-probability given the current atmospheric setup and short lead time.