- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 16°C or below on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 17°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 18°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 19°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 20°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 21°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 22°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 23°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 24°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 25°C on August 23?<1¢
- Will the highest temperature in Jinan be 26°C or higher on August 23?>99¢
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section. This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Strong climatological norms and current official forecasts underpin the near-certain market-implied odds for a daily maximum of 26 °C or higher in Jinan on 23 August. Late-August conditions in this humid subtropical region of Shandong typically feature mean daily highs of 30–32 °C, driven by persistent warm, moist southerly flow and high solar insolation before the autumn transition. Recent model guidance and local meteorological agency outlooks project afternoon peaks near 34 °C amid scattered convective thunderstorms, consistent with historical August extremes that rarely dip below 26 °C even on overcast days. A realistic challenge would require an abrupt, unforecasted influx of cooler northerly air or prolonged heavy rainfall suppressing the diurnal maximum, though current steering patterns and moisture profiles make such suppression improbable before resolution.